"Building hundreds of millions of dollars of luxury housing on a landfill in a rising bay is insanity," said Dr. Helena Marks, a coastal geologist. "Treasure Island is going to be slammed by storm surges before the mortgage is paid off." San Francisco is earthquake country. Treasure Island is entirely built on "hydraulic fill"—loose, sandy dredge that turns to liquid jelly during a major quake.
For potential buyers, the gamble is immense. Will this be a brilliant investment in a rising waterfront, or a financial tomb when the sea rises?
Today, the redevelopment of Treasure Island is the most ambitious and controversial urban project in California. And the critics have not held back. The phrase "slammed treasure island" appears in news reports for three distinct reasons: environmental risk, seismic danger, and social equity. 1. The Climate Hammer: Rising Seas Treasure Island sits just 13 feet above sea level at its highest point. With climate models predicting the bay will rise by as much as 7 feet by 2100, engineers are in a race against the tide. slammed treasure island
"You are erasing a community and replacing it with a playground for the rich," activist Maria Santos shouted at a 2023 planning commission meeting. "Don't try to pretend this is public good." In the face of being slammed, the development team (led by One Treasure Island, a partnership of Stockbridge and Wilson Meany) fights back. They argue that Treasure Island will be the "greenest neighborhood in the world."
Protestors have repeatedly slammed Treasure Island’s leadership at public hearings. They argue the island is becoming a "gated fortress for tech millionaires" while the homeless crisis rages two miles away in downtown San Francisco. "Building hundreds of millions of dollars of luxury
Here is the definitive look at why everyone is suddenly talking about the island that was built for a World’s Fair. To understand why Treasure Island is being slammed today, you have to understand its fragile origins. Built in 1936-1937 using 287,000 cubic yards of bay dredge and quarry rock, the island was created to host the Golden Gate International Exposition of 1939.
Yet, the state’s seismic safety commission recently slammed Treasure Island’s risk assessment as "optimistic." Building massive residential towers (including a 20-story condominium) on this terrain has engineers wincing. One consultant called it "building Versailles on a slinky." Perhaps the loudest noise comes from housing advocates. For years, Treasure Island was a home to 2,000 lower-income residents in aging Navy barracks. To build the new "eco-district," the city forced most of these residents out. Today, the redevelopment of Treasure Island is the
One thing is certain. As the bay waters climb and the next earthquake rumbles beneath the Pacific Plate, the world will be watching. Whether it sinks or swims, —by the tide, by the earth, and by the court of public opinion.